Legal and Policy Analysis of Indonesia’s Energy Sector: Energy Resilience and Gas Dependence in the Electricity System
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.55927/fjmr.v5i6.108Keywords:
Energy Resilience, Energy Security, Gas Power Plants, RUPTL 2025–2034, Energy TransitionAbstract
The 2025–2034 RUPTL plans 10.3 GW of gas-fired power plants, increasing gas demand by 60% by 2034. At the same time, Indonesia’s domestic gas reserves are falling by 65.1% to 35.30 TCF, with an estimated lifespan of only 14 years. Using a juridical-empirical approach, this study identifies structural contradictions in gas expansion. In terms of availability, aging power plants (up to 40 years) and limited reserves raise stranded asset risks. Regarding accessibility, infrastructure disparities across regions remain significant. For affordability, LNG import volatility could impose costs of up to IDR 155.8 trillion by 2034. From a sustainability perspective, CO₂ and methane emissions are expected to rise. Legally, this systemic vulnerability may trigger an energy emergency under Presidential Regulation No. 41/2016. Under Law No. 30/2007, energy policy should prioritize diversification toward renewables rather than expanding fossil-based infrastructure that increases long-term energy security risks.
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