Early Detection of Social Conflict to Improve the Social Welfare of the Riau Community in 2022-2025

Abstract

This study examines the role of early detection of social conflict in improving the social welfare and human security of the Riau community during the 2022–2025 period. Riau Province faces multidimensional conflict risks related to agrarian disputes, land tenure issues, plantation expansion, environmental vulnerability, and multicultural dynamics, all of which potentially threaten regional stability and community welfare. This study employs a mixed-method approach by combining qualitative empirical analysis and bibliometric analysis. Empirical data were obtained through institutional reports, government documents, stakeholder discussions, and conflict-related materials concerning the Province of Riau, while bibliometric analysis was conducted using the Scopus database and VOSviewer software to identify publication trends, thematic developments, and keyword relationships related to social conflict and human security studies published between 2022 and 2025. The findings indicate a significant paradigm shift in conflict management studies, moving from conventional reactive approaches toward preventive and digital-based governance mechanisms. Bibliometric visualization demonstrates strong interconnections between social conflict, resilience, security, development, and digital platforms within the broader framework of human security. Empirical findings further reveal that agrarian disputes, oil palm plantation expansion, indigenous land issues, and institutional coordination remain dominant factors influencing social conflict in Riau.