Analysis of Determinants of Factors Affecting Unemployment Rates in West Java Province 2017-2024

Zhavira Rachel Maryam; Risqi Noor Hidayati Putri

doi:10.55927/fjmr.v5i3.29

Authors

Zhavira Rachel Maryam Universitas Negeri Surabaya
Risqi Noor Hidayati Putri Universitas Negeri Surabaya

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.55927/fjmr.v5i3.29

Keywords:

Human Development Index, Labor Force Participation Rate, Population, Unemployment

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of the Human Development Index (HDI), Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR), and population size on the Open Unemployment Rate (OUR) in West Java Province for the period 2017–2024. The method used is panel data regression on 27 districts/cities with a Fixed Effect Model. The results show that the HDI does not have a significant effect on the OUR, while the LFPR and population size have a significant effect. Simultaneously, all variables affect the OUR. These findings confirm that unemployment dynamics are more influenced by labor market factors than by the quality of human development.

References

Alam, J., Alam, Q. N., & Hoque, M. T. (2020). Impact of GDP, Inflation, Population Growth and FDI on Unemployment: A study on Bangladesh Economy. African Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 3(3), 67–79. https://doi.org/10.52589/ajesd/cah2iyqj

Badan Pusat Statistik. (2023). Keadaan Angkatan Kerja di Indonesia Agustus 2023. Badan Pusat Statistik, 297.

Becker, G. S. (1964). Human Capital: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis with Special Reference to Education, First Edition. In National Bureau of Economic Research.

Gujarati, D., & Porter, D. C. (2009). Basic Econometrics Fifth Edition. In Introductory Econometrics: A Practical Approach.

Himo, J. T., Rotinsulu, D. C., & Tolosang, K. D. . (2022). Analisis Pengaruh Indeks Pembangunan Manusia dan Angkatan Kerja terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka di 4 Kabupaten di Provinsi Maluku Utara Tahun 2010-2019. Jurnal Berkala Ilmiah Efisiensi, 22(4), 124–135. https://ejournal.unsrat.ac.id/index.php/jbie/article/view/42238/37378

Ibiyantoro, A. S., & Imaningsih, N. (2022). Analisis Pengaruh Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Angkatan Kerja, dan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka di Provinsi Maluku. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis, 11(3), 98–102.

Idriss, A., & Enad, O. M. A. (2024). The Impact Of Population Growth On Unemployment Rates In Blida Province: An Analytical And Econometric Study For The Period 2000 - 2022. Algerian Scientific Journal Platform, July, 77. https://doi.org/10.53999/2297-014-002-005

International Labour Organization. (2017). Jobs and Skills Mismatch in the Informal Economy (Issue October).

Jahan, S., & Mahmud, A. S. (2013). What Is The Output Gap?: Economists Look for The Difference Between What an Economy is Producing and What it Can Produce. Finance and Development, 50(3), 38–39.

Kantari, D. P. A., Kamila, N., & Safitri, O. (2024). Analisis Pengaruh Indeks Pendidikan, Tingkat Partisipasi Angkatan Kerja dan Jumlah Penduduk terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka Pada Kabupaten/Kota Provinsi Jawa Timur Tahun 2021. Acmatics Journal: Actuarial, Mathematics, and Statistics Journal, 1(1), 11–16.

Khalifa, J. (2024). Determinants of Unemployment in Tunisia: Regional Panel Analysis. International Journal of Economic Perspectives, December 2024.

Malthus, T. R. (1798). An Essay on the Principle of Population. In Electronic Scholarly Publishing Project (Vol. 1). https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003490548-6

Marliana, L. (2022). Analisis Pengaruh Indeks Pembangunan Manusia, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan Upah Minimum terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka di Indonesia. Ekonomis: Journal of Economics and Business, 6(1), 87. https://doi.org/10.33087/ekonomis.v6i1.490

Mincer, J. (1962). Labor Force Participation of Married Women: A Study of Labor Supply. In National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781035383825.00008

Mouren, V., Lapian, A. L. C. P., & Tumangkeng, S. Y. . (2022). Pengaruh Tingkat Pendidikan, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan Jumlah Penduduk terhadap Pengangguran Di Kabupaten Toraja Utara. Jurnal Berkala Ilmiah Efisiensi, 22(5), 133–144.

Musa, Y., Audu, A., & Junaidu, Y. (2024). An analysis of Panel Data on Unemployment and Labor Force Participation Rates in Sub-Saharan African Countries. Dutse Journal of Pure and Applied Sciences, 10(3b), 154–169. https://doi.org/10.4314/dujopas.v10i3b.16

News, P. (2024). Selain Pariwisata, Wabup Pangandaran Sebut Banyak Potensi Yang Bisa Terus Dikembangkan. Pangandaran News. https://www.pangandarannews.com/2024/07/selain-pariwisata-wabup-pangandaran.html#:~:text=PANGANDARANNEWS.COM -Kabupaten Pangandaran mempunyai sejumlah potensi besar,tentu ini tidak akan mengganggu Anggaran Pendapatan

OECD. (2016). Skills Matter: Further Results from The Survey of Adult Skills. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264258051-en

Rusydan, R. M., & Wijaya, R. S. (2024). Impact of Economic Growth, Minimum Wage, Labor Force Participation Rate, and Population Size on the Open Unemployment. Journal of Business Management and Economic Development, 2(03), 1186–1198. https://doi.org/10.59653/jbmed.v2i03.911

Salsabila, N. A., Andriani, S., Mirisda, & Nohe, D. A. (2022). Analisis Pengaruh Tingkat Partisipasi Angkatan Kerja dan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka Menggunakan Regresi Probit dan Logit. Prosiding Seminar Nasional Matematika, Statistika, Dan Aplikasinya, 2, 344–353.

Sambaulu, R. A., Rotinsulu, T. O., & Lapian, A. L. C. P. (2022). Pengaruh Jumlah Penduduk, Upah Minimum Dan Inflasi terhadap Pengangguran di Kota Manado. Jurnal Berkala Ilmiah Efisiensi, 22(6), 48.

Sari, A. S., & Sugiharti, R. (2022). Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Tingkat Partisipasi Angkatan Kerja di Indonesia Tahun 2001-2020. JIEP: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Dan Pembangunan, 5(8.5.2017), 2003–2005.

Simbolon, C. M., Karo, R. U. K., Daffa, D. S., & Hidayat, N. (2023). Analisis Pengaruh IPM, UMP dan Tingkat Partisipasi Angkatan Kerja terhadap Pengangguran Terbuka di Indonesia. Journal of Social and Economics Research, 5(2), 451–463. https://idm.or.id/JSER/indeks

Suffah, D. A. F., Rahmi, A., Farida, S. N., Naffriza, G. Al, Faristanti, N., & Rahajeng, A. (2025). Analisis Pengaruh Upah Minimum Kabupaten/Kota (Umk), Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM), Jumlah Penduduk Kabupaten/Kota, Dan Jumlah Penduduk Miskin Terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka di Jawa Barat Tahun 2019-2023. Socius: Jurnal Penelitian Ilmu-Ilmu Sosial, 2(12), 257–264. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15655175

Wati, I. M., Utami, A. F., & Nisa, F. L. (2024). Pengaruh Angkatan Kerja Dan Jumlah Penduduk Terhadap Pengangguran Di Provinsi Jawa Timur. Jurnal Ilmiah Wahana Pendidikan, 10(September), 499–513.

Wilujeng, D., & Prasetyia, F. (2024). Analisis Pengaruh Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran. Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies, 3(2), 415–426.

World Bank. (2020). Towards a Secure and Fast Recovery. World Bank Group, 1(1), 1689–1699.

Zambrano, I. A. L., & Parrales, M. A. T. (2025). Human Development Indicators and Their Impact on Unemployment in Ecuador. Economía y Negocios. https://doi.org/10.29019/5km5jq05